Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.191471 0.270009 0.358667 0.463922 0.583514 0.713510 0.863948
2025-10-26 0.102063 0.202911 0.333979 0.505203 0.714001 0.953333 1.242233
2025-11-02 0.052780 0.152775 0.301111 0.509705 0.776538 1.092582 1.483470
2025-11-09 0.016423 0.097884 0.245881 0.473701 0.780743 1.156687 1.632669
2025-11-16 0.001280 0.056375 0.194765 0.431488 0.767959 1.193053 1.742711
2025-11-23 NaN 0.035079 0.168015 0.417895 0.788195 1.266908 1.895143
2025-11-30 NaN 0.024754 0.157906 0.427054 0.837614 1.376495 2.090458
2025-12-07 NaN 0.014522 0.141318 0.422386 0.865612 1.457185 2.249032
2025-12-14 NaN 0.005864 0.119111 0.403806 0.871032 1.506687 2.367322
2025-12-21 NaN 0.004778 0.124173 0.434688 0.949322 1.652675 2.607523
2025-12-28 NaN 0.003958 0.129747 0.466440 1.028965 1.800616 2.850443
2026-01-04 NaN 0.002313 0.128008 0.483488 1.086209 1.918514 3.055234
2026-01-11 NaN 0.002339 0.139032 0.528147 1.189008 2.102292 3.350150
2026-01-18 NaN 0.001821 0.145196 0.563618 1.278768 2.269863 3.626234
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000482 0.137847 0.570687 1.324305 2.377216 3.824869
2026-02-01 NaN NaN 0.110483 0.531848 1.296536 2.383752 3.893288
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.083643 0.487072 1.255757 2.370085 3.933763
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.071107 0.472537 1.261952 2.420123 4.055768
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.068242 0.482317 1.308190 2.526190 4.251077
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.060536 0.477336 1.329035 2.596146 4.398810
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.048808 0.457507 1.323327 2.627715 4.495462
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.053995 0.490451 1.409208 2.790337 4.765766
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.059476 0.524251 1.496609 2.955215 5.039187